The future trends website Now And Next has put together a timeline (PDF) that predicts when significant technologies, ideas, and customs will be obsolete. According to their best guesses, copyright will be effectively extinct by the year 2020.
That might sound scary, but I wouldn’t read too much into it. First, I wouldn’t trust any technological or social predictions with that much of a lead time. I’m expecting the world to be turned upside down a minimum of 9 times before 2020; each change could be radical enough to invalidate any predictions.
But more importantly I don’t trust this infographic because some of the predictions are implausible. It also predicts that email would be irrelevant after this year, and that the customer service and computer mouse would die out in the year 2017, or about 8 years before the desktop PC.
Spelling is also supposed to go by the wayside in 2023 (I’m ahead of that trend, yay) followed shortly by blogging (noooo).
Needless to say I’m not taking any of these predictions at all seriously, but some of the points on this timeline are entertaining none the less.
Do you find any of the predictions plausible?